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Thionville vs Versailles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stadium Plaine, Thionville
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thionville host Versailles in the Ligue 3. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Thionville at 1.71 goals for, 1.54 against; Versailles at 1.55 for, 1.1 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.44, favoring Versailles. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Thionville
30%
Draws
58%
Versailles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Versailles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Versailles have won more games recently than Thionville.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Versailles taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Thionville Clean Sheet 16%
Versailles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thionville Versailles
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.71 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thionville 11 / 100
Versailles 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thionville Versailles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Versailles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thionville found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Versailles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Thionville has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Versailles has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thionville VS Versailles
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thionville

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2
La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
Page 1 of 6

Versailles

(Away)
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0
Valenciennes
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2
Versailles
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Versailles
0 : 3
Cannes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)