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Thitsar Arman vs Dagon Port

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon
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Match Events

12' Event
Zaw Saw Myo
21' Event
Cantona A. E.
45'
Soe N. N.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Thitsar Arman and Dagon Port finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Thitsar Arman
35%
Draws
34%
Dagon Port
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Dagon Port's 2.29 goals per match outpaces what Thitsar Arman have produced (1.94).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 12%
Dagon Port Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thitsar Arman Dagon Port
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 10 10
Draws 13 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.94 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon Port
2:2
Dec 30, 2025 National League
Dagon Port vs Thitsar Arman
3:3
Jun 14, 2025 MNL League Cup
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon Port
2:2
Feb 14, 2025 National League
Dagon Port vs Thitsar Arman
1:2
Aug 23, 2024 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon Port
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw Saw Myo
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dagon Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantona A. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lin Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thitsar Arman 29 / 100
Dagon Port 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thitsar Arman Dagon Port

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thitsar Arman scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Dagon Port let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Thitsar Arman stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thitsar Arman VS Dagon Port
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Thitsar Arman

(Home)
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
26 Feb
Thitsar Arman
0 : 0
Ayeyawady
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
Page 1 of 7

Dagon Port

(Away)
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
26 Feb
Dagon Port
5 : 2
Yarmanya United
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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