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Stadium Background

Thitsar Arman vs Dagon Port

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon
Thitsar Arman Logo

Thitsar Arman

2 - 2
FT
Dagon Port Logo

Dagon Port

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Zaw Saw Myo
21' Event
Cantona A. E.
45'
Soe N. N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Thitsar Arman and Dagon Port finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Thitsar Arman
35%
Draws
34%
Dagon Port
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Thitsar Arman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Thitsar Arman a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 10%
Dagon Port Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thitsar Arman Dagon Port
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 10 8
Draws 15 10
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.97 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon Port
2:2
Dec 30, 2025 National League
Dagon Port vs Thitsar Arman
3:3
Jun 14, 2025 MNL League Cup
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon Port
2:2
Feb 14, 2025 National League
Dagon Port vs Thitsar Arman
1:2
Aug 23, 2024 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon Port
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw Saw Myo
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Dagon Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantona A. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lin Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thitsar Arman 38 / 100
Dagon Port 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thitsar Arman Dagon Port

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thitsar Arman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thitsar Arman scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Dagon Port let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Thitsar Arman stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thitsar Arman VS Dagon Port
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Thitsar Arman

(Home)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
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Dagon Port

(Away)
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
26 Feb
Dagon Port
5 : 2
Yarmanya United
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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