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Thitsar Arman vs Hantharwady United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Zaw P. P.
38' Event
Tun N. W.
49' Event
Aung Shine Wanna

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Thitsar Arman
35%
Draws
12%
Hantharwady United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Thitsar Arman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Thitsar Arman haven't matched Hantharwady United's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Thitsar Arman taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 20%
Hantharwady United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thitsar Arman Hantharwady United
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 9 12
Draws 15 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Hantharwady United
2:2
Jan 11, 2026 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Hantharwady United
1:2
Aug 24, 2025 National League
Hantharwady United vs Thitsar Arman
0:0
Feb 3, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Hantharwady United
1:0
Jul 14, 2024 National League
Hantharwady United vs Thitsar Arman
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Tun N. W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Shine Wanna
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hantharwady United Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw P. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thitsar Arman 85 / 100
Hantharwady United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thitsar Arman Hantharwady United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thitsar Arman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thitsar Arman found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Thitsar Arman went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hantharwady United let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Thitsar Arman VS Hantharwady United
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thitsar Arman

(Home)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
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Hantharwady United

(Away)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
3 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Yadanarbon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Mahar United 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Ayeyawady 2 1 0 1 2:6 3
7 Thitsar Arman 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Myawady 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
11 Ispe 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
12 Chinland 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)