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Thitsar Arman vs Mahar United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon
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Match Events

37' Event
Oo Min Maw
43' Event
Aung Shine Wanna
49' Event
Zaw Saw Myo

AI Match Summary

Thitsar Arman in this National League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thitsar Arman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Thitsar Arman
35%
Draws
20%
Mahar United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Thitsar Arman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mahar United lately — more wins on the board than Thitsar Arman.
  • Model gives Thitsar Arman a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 10%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thitsar Arman Mahar United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 13 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 National League
Mahar United vs Thitsar Arman
3:3
Sep 29, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Mahar United
3:0
Feb 28, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Mahar United
3:3
Aug 19, 2024 National League
Mahar United vs Thitsar Arman
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Oo Min Maw
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Shine Wanna
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mahar United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thitsar Arman 83 / 100
Mahar United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thitsar Arman Mahar United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thitsar Arman scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Mahar United let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Thitsar Arman went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thitsar Arman VS Mahar United
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thitsar Arman

(Home)
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
26 Feb
Thitsar Arman
0 : 0
Ayeyawady
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
Page 1 of 6

Mahar United

(Away)
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
25 Feb
Mahar United
0 : 2
Yangon United
15 Feb
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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