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Thitsar Arman vs Mahar United Prediction & H2H Stats

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon
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Match Events

37' Event
Oo Min Maw
43' Event
Aung Shine Wanna
49' Event
Zaw Saw Myo

AI Match Summary

Thitsar Arman in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thitsar Arman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Thitsar Arman
30%
Draws
28%
Mahar United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thitsar Arman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mahar United lately — more wins on the board than Thitsar Arman.
  • Model gives Thitsar Arman a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 20%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thitsar Arman Mahar United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 15 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 National League
Mahar United vs Thitsar Arman
3:3
Sep 29, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Mahar United
3:0
Feb 28, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Mahar United
3:3
Aug 19, 2024 National League
Mahar United vs Thitsar Arman
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Oo Min Maw
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Shine Wanna
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Mahar United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thitsar Arman 85 / 100
Mahar United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thitsar Arman Mahar United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thitsar Arman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahar United let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Thitsar Arman went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Thitsar Arman scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Thitsar Arman VS Mahar United
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thitsar Arman

(Home)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
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Mahar United

(Away)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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