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Thitsar Arman vs Shan United Prediction & H2H Stats

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon
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Match Events

23' Event
Zaw Saw Myo
28' Event
Ko Sa Aung Pyae
45' Event
Ko Sa Aung Pyae

AI Match Summary

Shan United in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shan United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Thitsar Arman
35%
Draws
34%
Shan United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Shan United have won more games recently than Thitsar Arman.
  • Model gives Thitsar Arman a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shan United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 10%
Shan United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thitsar Arman Shan United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 18
Draws 15 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.87 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National League
Shan United vs Thitsar Arman
5:2
Dec 24, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Shan United
2:3
May 16, 2025 MNL League Cup
Thitsar Arman vs Shan United
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 National League
Shan United vs Thitsar Arman
3:1
Jul 28, 2024 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Shan United
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw Saw Myo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aung P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Shan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ko Sa Aung Pyae
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sekyi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thitsar Arman 34 / 100
Shan United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thitsar Arman Shan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thitsar Arman scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Thitsar Arman went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Shan United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Thitsar Arman VS Shan United
2 Goals Scored 3.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thitsar Arman

(Home)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
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Shan United

(Away)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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