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Thitsar Arman vs Yadanarbon

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Aung T. T.
25' Event
Moe P.
28' Event
Oo Min Maw

AI Match Summary

Yadanarbon in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yadanarbon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Thitsar Arman
30%
Draws
28%
Yadanarbon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thitsar Arman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Yadanarbon have won more games recently than Thitsar Arman.
  • Model gives Thitsar Arman a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 18%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thitsar Arman Yadanarbon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 13 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 National League
Yadanarbon vs Thitsar Arman
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Yadanarbon
2:4
Nov 6, 2024 National League
Yadanarbon vs Thitsar Arman
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Yadanarbon
1:2
May 21, 2024 MNL League Cup
Yadanarbon vs Thitsar Arman
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Oo Min Maw
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaw Saw Myo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Yadanarbon Compare

Top Goalscorer Oo S. M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aung T. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thitsar Arman 85 / 100
Yadanarbon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thitsar Arman Yadanarbon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thitsar Arman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thitsar Arman scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Yadanarbon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Thitsar Arman has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thitsar Arman VS Yadanarbon
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thitsar Arman

(Home)
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
26 Feb
Thitsar Arman
0 : 0
Ayeyawady
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
Page 1 of 6

Yadanarbon

(Away)
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
24 Feb
Hantharwady United
0 : 1
Yadanarbon
19 Feb
Dagon
2 : 1
Yadanarbon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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