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Thonon-Evian vs Aubagne FC

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Tafni B.
90' Event
Radojevic J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Thonon-Evian
30%
Draws
34%
Aubagne FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thonon-Evian

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Aubagne FC have won more games recently than Thonon-Evian.
  • Win probability leans Thonon-Evian's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Thonon-Evian Clean Sheet 20%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon-Evian Aubagne FC
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 National 2 - Group A
Thonon-Evian vs Aubagne FC
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 National 2 - Group A
Aubagne FC vs Thonon-Evian
2:1
Nov 18, 2023 Coupe de France
Thonon-Evian vs Aubagne FC
3:2
Apr 22, 2023 National 2 - Group C
Thonon-Evian vs Aubagne FC
1:0
Nov 26, 2022 National 2 - Group C
Aubagne FC vs Thonon-Evian
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thonon-Evian Compare

Top Goalscorer Radojevic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Aubagne FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tafni B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon-Evian 36 / 100
Aubagne FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon-Evian Aubagne FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aubagne FC let in goals in 85% of their last 39 matches.

Thonon-Evian's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Aubagne FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aubagne FC
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aubagne FC261410233:1752
2Le Puy-en-Velay261210439:2446
3RC Grasse261012431:2142
4Jura Sud261011534:2341
5Cannes26913441:2140
6Hyeres26910737:2237
7Frejus Saint Raphael26812625:1936
8Toulon2698930:2935
9Andrezieux26971026:2834
10Ales26781123:3929
11Thonon-Evian26771227:3528
12Chamalieres265111026:4026
13Bourgoin Jallieu26491324:4321
14Toulouse II26181724:5911