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Thonon-Evian vs RC Grasse

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 game between Thonon-Evian and RC Grasse finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Thonon-Evian
30%
Draws
54%
RC Grasse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RC Grasse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RC Grasse come out ahead of Thonon-Evian on wins alone.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Thonon-Evian Clean Sheet 20%
RC Grasse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon-Evian RC Grasse
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 National 1 - Group A
RC Grasse vs Thonon-Evian
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Thonon-Evian vs RC Grasse
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 National 1 - Group C
RC Grasse vs Thonon-Evian
1:1
Sep 10, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Thonon-Evian vs RC Grasse
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon-Evian 32 / 100
RC Grasse 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon-Evian RC Grasse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RC Grasse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon-Evian found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

RC Grasse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Thonon-Evian went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS RC Grasse
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon-Evian

(Home)
16 Nov
Saint-Cyr Collonges
1 : 0
Thonon-Evian
23 Jul
Villefranche
0 : 0
Thonon-Evian
26 Jul
Thonon-Evian
0 : 2
Paris FC
18 May
Cannes
2 : 1
Thonon-Evian
11 May
Thonon-Evian
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 6

RC Grasse

(Away)
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0
RC Grasse
09 May
RC Grasse
1 : 2
Rumilly Vallieres
02 May
Limonest
1 : 3
RC Grasse
25 Apr
RC Grasse
2 : 2
Istres
17 Apr
Andrezieux
1 : 2
RC Grasse
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)