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Thonon Evian W vs Auxerre W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thonon Evian W host Auxerre W in the Seconde Ligue Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Thonon Evian W at 1.63 goals for, 1.57 against; Auxerre W at 1.61 for, 1.45 against. Past meetings favor Thonon Evian W slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.94) point toward Thonon Evian W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Thonon Evian W
15%
Draws
59%
Auxerre W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Thonon Evian W average 1.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Auxerre W's 1.61.
  • Auxerre W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 10%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon Evian W Auxerre W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Auxerre W
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Thonon Evian W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 22 / 100
Auxerre W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon Evian W Auxerre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auxerre W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon Evian W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Auxerre W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Thonon Evian W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS Auxerre W
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon Evian W

(Home)
04 Oct
Cannes W
1 : 0
Thonon Evian W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6

Auxerre W

(Away)
04 Oct
Auxerre W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roubaix W 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Le Mans W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Metz W 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Cannes W 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
5 Lille W 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
6 Auxerre W 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 St Etienne W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
8 Nice W 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
9 Thonon Evian W 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
10 Bourges 18 W 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
11 Grenoble W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)