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Thonon Evian W vs Guingamp W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
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Match Events

19' Event
Zemzem S.
82' Event
Zemzem S.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Thonon Evian W and Guingamp W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thonon Evian W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Thonon Evian W
15%
Draws
0%
Guingamp W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thonon Evian W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Guingamp W haven't matched Thonon Evian W's recent run of results.
  • Thonon Evian W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 16%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon Evian W Guingamp W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 1.65 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Guingamp W
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Thonon Evian W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thonon Evian W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zemzem S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Guingamp W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 84 / 100
Guingamp W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon Evian W Guingamp W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thonon Evian W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thonon Evian W scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Guingamp W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Guingamp W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS Guingamp W
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon Evian W

(Home)
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Cannes W
4 : 5
Thonon Evian W
Page 1 of 7

Guingamp W

(Away)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)