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Thonon Evian W vs Metz W

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Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W Logo

Thonon Evian W

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Metz W Logo

Metz W

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Metz W in this Seconde Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Thonon Evian W
20%
Draws
40%
Metz W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Metz W haven't matched Thonon Evian W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Thonon Evian W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 10%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon Evian W Metz W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.69 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Metz W
1:2
May 17, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Thonon Evian W
4:4
Feb 1, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Metz W
2:1
May 18, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Metz W
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Thonon Evian W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 56 / 100
Metz W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon Evian W Metz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thonon Evian W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon Evian W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Metz W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Thonon Evian W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS Metz W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon Evian W

(Home)
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Cannes W
4 : 5
Thonon Evian W
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Metz W

(Away)
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Lens W
3 : 0
Metz W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metz W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Auxerre W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 St Etienne W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
4 Lille W 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
5 Roubaix W 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
6 Le Mans W 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Cannes W 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
8 Nice W 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
9 Thonon Evian W 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Bourges 18 W 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
11 Grenoble W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)