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Thonon Evian W vs Nice W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thonon Evian W host Nice W in the Seconde Ligue Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Thonon Evian W have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Nice W's 1.21 scored and 1.59 conceded. Head-to-head, Thonon Evian W have won 2 to Nice W's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 2.00) point toward Thonon Evian W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Thonon Evian W
30%
Draws
47%
Nice W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nice W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Thonon Evian W lately — more wins on the board than Nice W.
  • Model gives Nice W a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 10%
Nice W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon Evian W Nice W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Nice W vs Thonon Evian W
2:1
Nov 19, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Nice W
3:0
Nov 16, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Nice W
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Nice W vs Thonon Evian W
3:1
Oct 13, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Nice W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 26 / 100
Nice W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon Evian W Nice W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nice W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thonon Evian W scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Nice W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Thonon Evian W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS Nice W
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon Evian W

(Home)
04 Oct
Cannes W
1 : 0
Thonon Evian W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6

Nice W

(Away)
04 Oct
Nice W
1 : 0
Bourges 18 W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Nice W
1 : 1
Cannes W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roubaix W 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Le Mans W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Metz W 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Cannes W 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
5 Lille W 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
6 Auxerre W 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 St Etienne W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
8 Nice W 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
9 Thonon Evian W 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
10 Bourges 18 W 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
11 Grenoble W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)