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Thonon Evian W vs St Etienne W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Mansuy H.
90' Event
Clerac A.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women game between Thonon Evian W and St Etienne W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Thonon Evian W
30%
Draws
51%
St Etienne W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Etienne W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Thonon Evian W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on St Etienne W taking it.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 11%
St Etienne W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon Evian W St Etienne W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs St Etienne W
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs St Etienne W
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Thonon Evian W vs St Etienne W
1:1
Apr 23, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Thonon Evian W
2:2
Nov 26, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs St Etienne W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thonon Evian W Compare

Top Goalscorer Clerac A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

St Etienne W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mansuy H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 10 / 100
St Etienne W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon Evian W St Etienne W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon Evian W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

St Etienne W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Thonon Evian W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS St Etienne W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon Evian W

(Home)
04 Oct
Cannes W
1 : 0
Thonon Evian W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6

St Etienne W

(Away)
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
20 Sept
Bourges 18 W
0 : 3
St Etienne W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
22 Aug
St Etienne W
4 : 2
Roubaix W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roubaix W 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Le Mans W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Metz W 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Cannes W 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
5 Lille W 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
6 Auxerre W 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 St Etienne W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
8 Nice W 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
9 Thonon Evian W 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
10 Bourges 18 W 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
11 Grenoble W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)