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Stadium Background

Thonon Evian W vs Toulouse W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Bouzid W.
85' Event
Zemzem S.

AI Match Summary

Thonon Evian W in this Seconde Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thonon Evian W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Thonon Evian W
33%
Draws
27%
Toulouse W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Thonon Evian W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Toulouse W have won more games recently than Thonon Evian W.
  • Model gives Thonon Evian W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 12%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon Evian W Toulouse W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Thonon Evian W
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Toulouse W
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Toulouse W
1:3
Sep 15, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Thonon Evian W
0:1
Apr 16, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Toulouse W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thonon Evian W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouzid W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zemzem S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Toulouse W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 38 / 100
Toulouse W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon Evian W Toulouse W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon Evian W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Toulouse W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Thonon Evian W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS Toulouse W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toulouse W22154348:2149
2Saint-Malo W22124634:2840
3Le Mans W22123728:2039
4Auxerre W22105731:2535
5Grenoble W2297631:2434
6Lille W2295831:2532
7Thonon Evian W2294935:2931
8Nice W2285928:3129
9Reims W2276926:3327
10Metz W22641231:4222
11Rodez AF W22641216:3222
12Guingamp W22231717:469