Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thor Akureyri vs Fram

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Thorsvollur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Sigurdsson F. In: Fred Saraiva
Out: Sigurdsson F.
49' Event
Haugland S.
Assist: Jakobsen C.
57'
McLagan K.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Thor Akureyri and Fram finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thor Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Thor Akureyri
20%
Draws
47%
Fram
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fram

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Thor Akureyri haven't matched Fram's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fram have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor Akureyri Fram
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.75 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Thor Akureyri
6:1
Apr 23, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Fram
1:0
Jul 27, 2021 Division 1
Thor Akureyri vs Fram
0:2
May 21, 2021 Division 1
Fram vs Thor Akureyri
4:1
Feb 13, 2021 League Cup
Fram vs Thor Akureyri
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugland S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fram Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor Akureyri 34 / 100
Fram 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor Akureyri Fram

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fram Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fram has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Thor Akureyri found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Thor Akureyri stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thor Akureyri VS Fram
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thor Akureyri

(Home)
15 Aug
Thor Akureyri
0 : 2
Keflavik
09 Aug
Akranes
2 : 0
Thor Akureyri
04 Aug
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Breidablik
27 Jul
KA Akureyri
0 : 0
Thor Akureyri
18 Jul
Thor Akureyri
2 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Fram

(Away)
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 1
Stjarnan
10 Aug
Fram
2 : 5
KR Reykjavik
01 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 2
Fram
26 Jul
Fram
0 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
18 Jul
Valur
2 : 3
Fram
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 19 15 3 1 62:18 48
2 KR Reykjavik 19 12 4 3 67:42 40
3 Fram 19 12 4 3 48:35 40
4 Breidablik 19 8 6 5 39:33 30
5 Akranes 19 7 4 8 33:37 25
6 Keflavik 19 7 4 8 30:34 25
7 Valur 19 7 2 10 35:40 23
8 Stjarnan 19 6 3 10 34:46 21
9 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 19 4 5 10 30:41 17
10 Hafnarfjordur 19 3 8 8 24:36 17
11 KA Akureyri 19 4 4 11 28:40 16
12 Thor Akureyri 19 4 3 12 18:46 15
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)