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Thor Akureyri vs Fylkir

Iceland Iceland

League Cup Thorsvollur
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Tyrfingsson G.
Assist: Gunnarsson N.
46'
Sub
Gislason F. In: Gunnarsson S.
Out: Gislason F.
54'
Gunnarsson N.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between Thor Akureyri and Fylkir finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fylkir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Thor Akureyri
6%
Draws
90%
Fylkir
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fylkir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fylkir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fylkir are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
Fylkir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor Akureyri Fylkir
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 22
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Fylkir
0:2
Aug 8, 2025 Division 1
Fylkir vs Thor Akureyri
1:2
May 30, 2025 Division 1
Thor Akureyri vs Fylkir
4:1
Feb 18, 2023 League Cup
Fylkir vs Thor Akureyri
5:0
Sep 17, 2022 Division 1
Thor Akureyri vs Fylkir
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor Akureyri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Fylkir Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyrfingsson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gardarsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor Akureyri 10 / 100
Fylkir 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor Akureyri Fylkir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FYL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thor Akureyri scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Fylkir let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Thor Akureyri has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thor Akureyri VS Fylkir
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Stjarnan0
KR Reykjavik4
Thor Akureyri0
Fylkir2
Final
KR Reykjavik4
Fylkir5