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Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Thorsvollur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Tomic M.
30' Event
Jakobsen C.
Assist: Hlynsson A.
35'
Halldorsson E.

AI Match Summary

Thor Akureyri in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thor Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Thor Akureyri
20%
Draws
20%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thor Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Thor Akureyri lately — more wins on the board than IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
  • Win probability leans Thor Akureyri's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 20%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor Akureyri IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 8 4
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.18 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.36 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1:0
Aug 29, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri
0:1
Jun 14, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1:4
Jul 27, 2024 Division 1
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0:3
May 20, 2024 Division 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakobsen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor Akureyri 36 / 100
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor Akureyri IBV Vestmannaeyjar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBV Vestmannaeyjar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 26 matches.

Thor Akureyri's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thor Akureyri VS IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thor Akureyri

(Home)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
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IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Away)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur 24 9 4 11 44:47 31
2 Stjarnan 24 9 4 11 46:55 31
3 Hafnarfjordur 24 6 9 9 35:41 27
4 KA Akureyri 24 6 5 13 38:51 23
5 Thor Akureyri 24 6 3 15 23:57 21
6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 24 4 7 13 33:48 19
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)