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Thor/KA W vs Hafnarfjordur W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Thorsvollur
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Hermannsdottir T.
46'
Sub
Helgadottir H. In: Hlynsdottir B.
Out: Helgadottir H.
57'
Arnadottir A.

AI Match Summary

Thor/KA W host Hafnarfjordur W in the Besta deild Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Thor/KA W at 1.38 goals for, 2.25 against; Hafnarfjordur W at 3.63 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Thor/KA W have won 1 to Hafnarfjordur W's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.94) point toward Hafnarfjordur W. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Thor/KA W
11%
Draws
80%
Hafnarfjordur W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Hafnarfjordur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Hafnarfjordur W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Thor/KA W.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Hafnarfjordur W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Besta deild Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Thor/KA W Clean Sheet 10%
Hafnarfjordur W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor/KA W Hafnarfjordur W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 19
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.38 3.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 League Cup Women
Thor/KA W vs Hafnarfjordur W
4:2
Aug 12, 2025 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Thor/KA W
5:3
Jun 12, 2025 Icelandic Cup Women
Thor/KA W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:3
May 3, 2025 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs Hafnarfjordur W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor/KA W Compare

Top Goalscorer Flurey E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hafnarfjordur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermannsdottir T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor/KA W 10 / 100
Hafnarfjordur W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor/KA W Hafnarfjordur W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thor/KA W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Hafnarfjordur W let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Thor/KA W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hafnarfjordur W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thor/KA W VS Hafnarfjordur W
1.38 Goals Scored 3.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hafnarfjordur W1072131:1523
2Breidablik W1070327:1421
3Stjarnan W1053217:918
4IBV Vestmannaeyjar W1052316:1717
5Throttur W1041514:1613
6Grindavik/Njardvik W1033411:1512
7Valur W102449:1210
8Vikingur Reykjavik W1031618:2610
9Thor/KA W1023514:199
10Fram W1021711:257