Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thor/KA W vs Valur W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Thorsvollur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Einarsdottir H.
52'
Jonsdottir R.
55'
Sub
Arnarsdottir A. In: Tryggvadottir I.
Out: Arnarsdottir A.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild Women game between Thor/KA W and Valur W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valur W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Thor/KA W
20%
Draws
40%
Valur W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thor/KA W come out ahead of Valur W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Thor/KA W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Thor/KA W Clean Sheet 20%
Valur W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor/KA W Valur W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Thor/KA W
0:1
Aug 21, 2026 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs Valur W
0:1
Jun 13, 2026 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Thor/KA W
0:0
Aug 7, 2025 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs Valur W
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Thor/KA W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor/KA W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Valur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hlynsdottir L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor/KA W 42 / 100
Valur W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor/KA W Valur W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thor/KA W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Valur W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Thor/KA W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thor/KA W VS Valur W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thor/KA W

(Home)
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
2 : 1
Thor/KA W
29 Aug
Throttur W
0 : 0
Thor/KA W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
14 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik W
0 : 3
Thor/KA W
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Valur W

(Away)
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
12 Aug
Throttur W
3 : 2
Valur W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)