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Thornton Redbacks vs Kahibah

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Northern NSW State League 2023 game between Thornton Redbacks and Kahibah finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Thornton Redbacks
39%
Draws
31%
Kahibah
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Kahibah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kahibah have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Thornton Redbacks Clean Sheet 19%
Kahibah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thornton Redbacks Kahibah
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 17
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Thornton Redbacks vs Kahibah
2:4
Mar 21, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Kahibah vs Thornton Redbacks
4:1
Aug 10, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Thornton Redbacks vs Kahibah
1:7
Jun 2, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Kahibah vs Thornton Redbacks
3:1
May 28, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Thornton Redbacks vs Kahibah
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thornton Redbacks 31 / 100
Kahibah 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thornton Redbacks Kahibah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kahibah conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Thornton Redbacks found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Kahibah's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kahibah
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thornton Redbacks

(Home)
09 Aug
Thornton Redbacks
1 : 2
Wallsend Red Devils
05 Aug
Cessnock City Hornets
2 : 0
Thornton Redbacks
19 Jul
Thornton Redbacks
3 : 3
South Cardiff
13 Jul
Thornton Redbacks
1 : 1
Singleton Strikers
08 Jul
Thornton Redbacks
1 : 4
West Wallsend FC
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Kahibah

(Away)
18 Jul
Weston Workers Bears
5 : 2
Kahibah
12 Jul
Valentine
3 : 2
Kahibah
03 Jul
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 1
Kahibah
24 Jun
Kahibah
1 : 2
Adamstown Rosebud
21 Jun
Kahibah
4 : 1
Charlestown Azzurri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toronto Awaba Stags24172563:3953
2West Wallsend FC24161758:3549
3Singleton Strikers24141949:3443
4Kahibah24124844:3240
5South Cardiff24841260:6628
6Wallsend Red Devils24841238:6028
7Thornton Redbacks24761138:4927
8Belmont Swansea United24731436:3824
9Cessnock City Hornets24611733:6619
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW 2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW 2024 (Relegation)