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Thornton Redbacks vs South Cardiff

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League 2023
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AI Match Summary

Thornton Redbacks in this Northern NSW State League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thornton Redbacks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Thornton Redbacks
40%
Draws
29%
South Cardiff
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Thornton Redbacks haven't matched South Cardiff's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Thornton Redbacks Clean Sheet 13%
South Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thornton Redbacks South Cardiff
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Thornton Redbacks vs South Cardiff
3:3
May 4, 2025 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Thornton Redbacks
4:3
Aug 17, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Thornton Redbacks vs South Cardiff
0:6
Jun 8, 2024 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Thornton Redbacks
0:4
Apr 13, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Thornton Redbacks vs South Cardiff
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thornton Redbacks 31 / 100
South Cardiff 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thornton Redbacks South Cardiff

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: South Cardiff conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Thornton Redbacks scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: South Cardiff has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thornton Redbacks VS South Cardiff
1.33 Goals Scored 1
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thornton Redbacks

(Home)
09 Aug
Thornton Redbacks
1 : 2
Wallsend Red Devils
05 Aug
Cessnock City Hornets
2 : 0
Thornton Redbacks
19 Jul
Thornton Redbacks
3 : 3
South Cardiff
13 Jul
Thornton Redbacks
1 : 1
Singleton Strikers
08 Jul
Thornton Redbacks
1 : 4
West Wallsend FC
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South Cardiff

(Away)
11 Jul
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0
South Cardiff
04 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 1
New Lambton
20 Jun
Toronto Awaba Stags
1 : 0
South Cardiff
14 Jun
Cessnock City Hornets
0 : 2
South Cardiff
10 Jun
South Cardiff
1 : 3
Newcastle Croatia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toronto Awaba Stags24172563:3953
2West Wallsend FC24161758:3549
3Singleton Strikers24141949:3443
4Kahibah24124844:3240
5South Cardiff24841260:6628
6Wallsend Red Devils24841238:6028
7Thornton Redbacks24761138:4927
8Belmont Swansea United24731436:3824
9Cessnock City Hornets24611733:6619
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW 2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW 2024 (Relegation)