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Three Bridges vs Carshalton

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rivera K.
11' Event
Leighton N.
13' Event
Fadahunsi T.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Three Bridges and Carshalton finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Three Bridges.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Three Bridges
20%
Draws
16%
Carshalton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Three Bridges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Carshalton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Carshalton a 16% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Three Bridges Clean Sheet 10%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Three Bridges Carshalton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Three Bridges vs Carshalton
3:2
Oct 18, 2014 FA Trophy
Three Bridges vs Carshalton
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Three Bridges Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leighton N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Carshalton Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadahunsi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Three Bridges 10 / 100
Carshalton 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Three Bridges Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carshalton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Three Bridges found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Carshalton conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Carshalton registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Three Bridges VS Carshalton
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Three Bridges

(Home)
15 Sept
Whitehawk
3 : 2
Three Bridges
12 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 0
Three Bridges
04 Sept
Three Bridges
0 : 1
Kingstonian
31 Aug
Three Bridges
3 : 2
Carshalton
29 Aug
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 2
Three Bridges
Page 1 of 6

Carshalton

(Away)
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3
Dartford
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2
Chertsey Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Carshalton
31 Aug
Three Bridges
3 : 2
Carshalton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
2 Welling 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
3 Dartford 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 Lewes 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
5 Carshalton 8 5 0 3 12:11 15
6 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
7 Leatherhead 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
8 Ramsgate 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
9 Dulwich Hamlet 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
10 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
11 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
12 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
13 Aveley 8 3 1 4 16:14 10
14 Burgess Hill 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
15 Cray Wanderers 7 2 3 2 13:11 9
16 Maldon & Tiptree 6 3 0 3 9:13 9
17 Whyteleafe 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
18 Cheshunt 8 0 5 3 4:11 5
19 Whitehawk 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
20 Three Bridges 8 1 1 6 13:25 4
21 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
22 Brentwood 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)