Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Throttur vs Breidablik

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup Eimskipsvöllurinn, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ingvarsson D.
46'
Sub
Thordarson M. In: Sigurdsson V.
Out: Thordarson M.
52'
Arnason I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Throttur
30%
Draws
23%
Breidablik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Throttur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Throttur have won more games recently than Breidablik.
  • Win probability leans Throttur's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Throttur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Breidablik, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Breidablik have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Throttur Clean Sheet 20%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Breidablik
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.11 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Throttur vs Breidablik
1:2
Feb 13, 2026 League Cup
Throttur vs Breidablik
4:0
May 18, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Throttur vs Breidablik
0:3
Feb 19, 2021 League Cup
Throttur vs Breidablik
0:5
Feb 18, 2018 League Cup
Throttur vs Breidablik
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Compare

Top Goalscorer Larusson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Breidablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingvarsson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kristinsson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur 85 / 100
Breidablik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Breidablik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Breidablik conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Throttur has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Throttur VS Breidablik
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur

(Home)
13 Aug
Grindavik
2 : 1
Throttur
08 Aug
Grotta
1 : 1
Throttur
29 Jul
Throttur
4 : 1
Afturelding
23 Jul
Leiknir Reykjavik
1 : 5
Throttur
18 Jul
Throttur
1 : 0
Volsungur
Page 1 of 6

Breidablik

(Away)
16 Aug
KR Reykjavik
3 : 3
Breidablik
09 Aug
Breidablik
1 : 3
Valur
04 Aug
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Breidablik
27 Jul
Breidablik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik -
Afturelding -