Sport Picks

Iceland

Division 1 2023

Kordrengir

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Throttur play Kordrengir in the Division 1 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Throttur averaged 2.19 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Kordrengir averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Throttur won 0, Kordrengir won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 27, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Throttur and 0.94 for Kordrengir. This points to a Kordrengir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Throttur

23%

Draws

39%

Kordrengir

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Kordrengir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Throttur picked up more points recently compared to Kordrengir.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Throttur Clean Sheet 24%

Kordrengir Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Throttur	Kordrengir
Matches Played	31	5
Wins	17	3
Draws	4	0
Losses	10	2
Goals Scored	2.19	2
Goals Conceded	1.61	1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2023 Division 1

Kordrengir vs Throttur

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

May 21, 2023 Division 1

Throttur vs Kordrengir

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Aug 6, 2021 Division 1

Throttur vs Kordrengir

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

May 29, 2021 Division 1

Kordrengir vs Throttur

Possession: 54% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur 39 / 100

Kordrengir 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Throttur Kordrengir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kordrengir or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Throttur attacking → ← attacking Kordrengir

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Kordrengir let in goals in 60% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Throttur went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kordrengir lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 9

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Akranes	22	15	4	3	54:31	49
2	Afturelding	22	13	4	5	60:33	43
3	Fjolnir	22	12	6	4	55:32	42
4	Vestri	22	11	6	5	37:26	39
5	Leiknir Reykjavik	22	11	2	9	47:37	35
6	Grindavik	22	8	4	10	27:38	28
7	Thor Akureyri	22	8	3	11	27:39	27
8	Throttur	22	7	5	10	45:46	26
9	Grotta	22	6	8	8	34:37	26
10	Njardvik	22	6	5	11	36:47	23
11	Selfoss	22	7	2	13	37:49	23
12	Aegir	22	2	3	17	23:67	9