Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Throttur vs Vestri

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Eimskipsvöllurinn, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Larusson S. In: Steinarsson V.
Out: Larusson S.
34'
Ingason A.
36'
Phete T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Throttur
15%
Draws
34%
Vestri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Throttur have won more games recently than Vestri.
  • Win probability leans Throttur's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Throttur Clean Sheet 20%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Vestri
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.26 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 1
Vestri vs Throttur
0:2
Jun 27, 2026 Division 1
Throttur vs Vestri
1:1
Mar 25, 2025 League Cup
Throttur vs Vestri
0:1
Sep 9, 2023 Division 1
Vestri vs Throttur
2:1
Jul 8, 2023 Division 1
Throttur vs Vestri
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingvarsson U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Vestri Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermannsson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur 85 / 100
Vestri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Vestri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Throttur scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Vestri let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Throttur remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Throttur VS Vestri
2.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur

(Home)
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
22 Aug
Kopavogur
3 : 0
Throttur
17 Aug
Throttur
3 : 1
Fylkir
13 Aug
Grindavik
2 : 1
Throttur
Page 1 of 6

Vestri

(Away)
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)