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Throttur Vogar vs KFA

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Throttur Vogar Logo

Throttur Vogar

2 - 0
FT
KFA Logo

KFA

Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Palsson H.
(Penalty)
81' Event
Erlingsson E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Throttur Vogar in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Throttur Vogar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Throttur Vogar
15%
Draws
68%
KFA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • KFA have won more games recently than Throttur Vogar.
  • KFA are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 11%
KFA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Vogar KFA
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.48 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 2
KFA vs Throttur Vogar
4:2
May 14, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFA
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFA
1:1
May 31, 2025 Division 2
KFA vs Throttur Vogar
0:3
Jul 13, 2024 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFA
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Erlingsson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

KFA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur Vogar 10 / 100
KFA 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Vogar KFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFA has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Throttur Vogar's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Throttur Vogar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Throttur Vogar VS KFA
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur Vogar

(Home)
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
15 Aug
Throttur Vogar
2 : 0
Dalvik/Reynir
09 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 6

KFA

(Away)
29 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 3
KFA
23 Aug
KFA
6 : 0
Hviti
19 Aug
Fjolnir
1 : 2
KFA
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4
KFA
08 Aug
KFA
1 : 2
Haukar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 20 15 2 3 54:26 47
2 Selfoss 20 11 6 3 51:34 39
3 Kari 20 9 9 2 50:29 36
4 KFA 20 9 2 9 49:38 29
5 Olafsvik 20 8 4 8 28:37 28
6 Fjolnir 20 7 5 8 46:44 26
7 Dalvik/Reynir 20 7 4 9 30:34 25
8 Magni 20 7 4 9 34:50 25
9 Kormakur/Hvot 20 6 6 8 37:33 24
10 Throttur Vogar 20 6 1 13 30:40 19
11 KFG Gardabaer 20 6 1 13 33:55 19
12 Hviti 20 3 8 9 24:46 17
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