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Throttur W vs Fylkir W

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Throttur W play Fylkir W in the Icelandic Cup Women 2024. Throttur W are favorites here. Recently, Throttur W averaged 2.19 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Fylkir W averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, Throttur W won 3, Fylkir W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2025 ended 1:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.27 for Throttur W and 2.06 for Fylkir W. This points to a Throttur W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Throttur W
15%
Draws
22%
Fylkir W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Throttur W picked up more points recently compared to Fylkir W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.27 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Throttur W Clean Sheet 10%
Fylkir W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur W Fylkir W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 2.19 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 League Cup Women
Fylkir W vs Throttur W
1:7
Jun 25, 2024 Besta deild Women
Throttur W vs Fylkir W
1:0
May 19, 2024 Icelandic Cup Women
Throttur W vs Fylkir W
5:0
Apr 22, 2024 Besta deild Women
Fylkir W vs Throttur W
1:1
Feb 12, 2022 League Cup Women
Throttur W vs Fylkir W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lelii S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eyjolfsdottir M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Fylkir W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur W 59 / 100
Fylkir W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur W Fylkir W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Throttur W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Throttur W attacking → ← attacking Fylkir W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur W scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Fylkir W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Throttur W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fylkir W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 23
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.67