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Thun vs Elversberg

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
20'
27'
Sub
Schnellbacher L. In: Mokwa Ntusu D.
Out: Schnellbacher L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Thun
20%
Draws
57%
Elversberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elversberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Elversberg have won more games recently than Thun.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Elversberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun Elversberg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.9 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Thun vs Elversberg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Labeau B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Elversberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerezgiher F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 14 / 100
Elversberg 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun Elversberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elversberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elversberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Thun scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Thun went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Elversberg
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
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Elversberg

(Away)
20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0
Elversberg
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2
Bayern Munich
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
22 Aug
Duisburg
1 : 3
Elversberg
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