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Thun vs Grasshoppers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Stockhorn Arena, Thun
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Match Events

23' Event
Bengondo S.
38'
Burki M.
45'
Privitelli G. L.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Thun and Grasshoppers finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grasshoppers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Thun
20%
Draws
36%
Grasshoppers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grasshoppers come out ahead of Thun on wins alone.
  • Grasshoppers are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%
Grasshoppers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun Grasshoppers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 2.04 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Grasshoppers
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Grasshoppers
5:1
Jan 18, 2026 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Thun
1:3
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
Thun vs Grasshoppers
1:1
Sep 13, 2024 Swiss Cup
Thun vs Grasshoppers
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Grasshoppers Compare

Top Goalscorer Bengondo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 26 / 100
Grasshoppers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun Grasshoppers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grasshoppers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thun scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Grasshoppers has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Thun went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Grasshoppers
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)
01 Nov
Lausanne
4 : 5
Thun
25 Oct
Thun
2 : 3
Lugano
22 Oct
Thun
0 : 1
Hajduk Split
18 Oct
Schaffhausen
2 : 3
Thun
15 Oct
Twente
1 : 0
Thun
Page 1 of 6

Grasshoppers

(Away)
31 Oct
Grasshoppers
2 : 2
Vaduz
25 Oct
Basel
0 : 0
Grasshoppers
17 Oct
Grenchen
0 : 8
Grasshoppers
11 Oct
Grasshoppers
0 : 2
Young Boys
02 Oct
Grasshoppers
2 : 3
Yverdon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 11 10 1 0 34:9 31
2 Young Boys 11 7 4 0 35:18 25
3 Sion 12 7 2 3 25:18 23
4 St. Gallen 12 6 1 5 19:22 19
5 Zurich 11 5 2 4 20:23 17
6 Servette 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
7 Basel 11 4 2 5 17:20 14
8 Luzern 12 3 4 5 19:25 13
9 Vaduz 12 3 1 8 24:25 10
10 Thun 11 3 1 7 19:30 10
11 Grasshoppers 12 2 4 6 15:28 10
12 Lausanne 11 1 3 7 7:17 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)