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Thun vs Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thun host Hearts in the Conference League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Hearts have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Thun have conceded 2.31 and scored 1.76. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.88, favoring Hearts. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Thun
20%
Draws
36%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Hearts carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Thun's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%
Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun Hearts
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.76 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 38 / 100
Hearts 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hearts conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Thun found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Thun stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Hearts has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Hearts
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)
22 Oct
Thun
0 : 1
Hajduk Split
18 Oct
Schaffhausen
2 : 3
Thun
15 Oct
Twente
1 : 0
Thun
10 Oct
Zurich
4 : 2
Thun
03 Oct
Thun
2 : 0
Kriens
Page 1 of 6

Hearts

(Away)
22 Oct
Trabzonspor
2 : 0
Hearts
18 Oct
Celtic
7 : 1
Hearts
15 Oct
Hearts
1 : 1
Nordsjaelland
10 Oct
Hearts
5 : 0
St. Mirren
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Lugano 2 2 0 0 8:4 6
3 Brann 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Trabzonspor 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
5 Twente 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
6 Monaco 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
7 St. Truiden 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
8 Hajduk Split 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
9 Brighton 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
10 FC Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
11 Univ. Craiova 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
12 Mjallby 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
13 Ajax 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
14 Borac Banja Luka 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
15 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
16 Braga 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
17 Gent 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
18 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
19 Nordsjaelland 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
20 KF Egnatia 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
21 Riga FC 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
22 Crvena zvezda 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
23 CSKA Sofia 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
24 Jablonec 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
25 Midtjylland 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Aarhus 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
27 Pafos 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
28 Hearts 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
29 Iberia 1999 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
30 Getafe 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
31 Kairat Almaty 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
32 Thun 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
33 Lincoln Red Imps 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
34 KuPS 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
35 Inter Escaldes 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)