Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Thun host Lugano in the Super League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Thun have averaged 1.9 scored and 2.23 conceded recently, against Lugano's 2.4 scored and 0.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Thun have won 2 to Lugano's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.63, favoring Lugano. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Thun haven't matched Lugano's recent run of results.
- Model gives Lugano a 61% chance of winning this.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thun | Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thun scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Lugano let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Thun stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Thun
(Home)Lugano
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 25 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 31:18 | 19 |
| 3 | Sion | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:14 | 19 |
| 4 | Basel | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:17 | 13 |
| 5 | St. Gallen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 13 |
| 6 | Luzern | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 7 | Zurich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 8 | Servette | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Thun | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 11 | Vaduz | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18:21 | 6 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | 6 |
