Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thun vs Mannheim

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Kammerknecht C. In: Klunter L.
Out: Kammerknecht C.
38'
Sub
Nijhuis T. In: Niemann J.
Out: Nijhuis T.
44'
Ilic A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Thun and Mannheim finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mannheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Thun
44%
Draws
20%
Mannheim
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Thun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%
Mannheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun Mannheim
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.75 3.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Thun vs Mannheim
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mannheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boyd T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 34 / 100
Mannheim 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun Mannheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thun scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Mannheim let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Thun remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Mannheim
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
21 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Din. Zagreb
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 2
Mannheim
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
04 Jul
Thun
6 : 2
Xamax
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Mannheim

(Away)
25 Jul
Mannheim
4 : 1
Triglav
23 Jul
Mannheim
4 : 1
FC Liefering
18 Jul
Nurnberg
3 : 2
Mannheim
15 Jul
Eintracht Frankfurt II
2 : 0
Mannheim
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 2
Mannheim
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