Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thun vs Servette

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Mutandwa K.
29' Event
Lambourde M.
Assist: Njoh L.
31'
Mazikou B.

AI Match Summary

Servette in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Servette.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Thun
20%
Draws
51%
Servette
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Servette

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Thun haven't matched Servette's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thun here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%
Servette Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun Servette
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Servette
2:4
Feb 8, 2026 Super League
Servette vs Thun
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 Super League
Servette vs Thun
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Super League
Thun vs Servette
3:1
Oct 27, 2021 Swiss Cup
Thun vs Servette
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Saiz F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Servette Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutandwa K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lambourde M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 34 / 100
Servette 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun Servette

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Servette Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Thun's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Servette conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Thun remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Servette
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
30 Aug
St. Gallen
3 : 4
Thun
Page 1 of 6

Servette

(Away)
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
13 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 1
Servette
06 Sept
Servette
0 : 2
St. Gallen
03 Sept
Lugano
1 : 0
Servette
29 Aug
Servette
1 : 1
Luzern
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 8 7 1 0 23:7 22
2 Sion 8 6 0 2 22:13 18
3 Young Boys 8 4 4 0 28:16 16
4 Basel 8 4 1 3 16:14 13
5 Servette 8 3 1 4 9:10 10
6 St. Gallen 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
7 Zurich 8 3 1 4 13:19 10
8 Luzern 8 2 3 3 12:17 9
9 Grasshoppers 8 2 2 4 12:19 8
10 Thun 8 2 1 5 13:22 7
11 Vaduz 8 2 0 6 17:19 6
12 Lausanne 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)