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Thun vs Servette

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thun host Servette in the Super League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Servette have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Thun have conceded 2.25 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Thun have won 5 to Servette's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.50 - 1.94) back Thun to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Thun
39%
Draws
31%
Servette
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Servette haven't matched Thun's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thun here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%
Servette Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun Servette
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 12
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Super League
Servette vs Thun
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 Super League
Servette vs Thun
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Super League
Thun vs Servette
3:1
Oct 27, 2021 Swiss Cup
Thun vs Servette
4:1
Jul 22, 2020 Super League
Thun vs Servette
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 29 / 100
Servette 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun Servette

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thun found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Servette conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Thun remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Servette
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
21 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Din. Zagreb
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 2
Mannheim
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
04 Jul
Thun
6 : 2
Xamax
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Servette

(Away)
25 Jul
Servette
0 : 1
Basel
18 Jul
Servette
1 : 0
St Etienne
15 Jul
Lyon
2 : 1
Servette
11 Jul
Servette
1 : 2
Etoile-Carouge
08 Jul
Servette
2 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Boys11004:23
2Thun11003:13
3Lugano11002:13
4St. Gallen11002:13
5Basel11001:03
6Lausanne10101:11
7Grasshoppers10101:11
8Zurich10011:20
9Vaduz10011:20
10Servette10010:10
11Sion10012:40
12Luzern10011:30
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)