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Thun vs Young Boys

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Thun Logo

Thun

3 - 8
FT
Young Boys Logo

Young Boys

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Essende S.
Assist: Lauper S.
11' Event
Rastoder E.
Assist: Ibayi C.
13' Event
Rastoder E.
Assist: Roth J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Young Boys in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Young Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Thun
35%
Draws
45%
Young Boys
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Young Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Young Boys have won more games recently than Thun.
  • Young Boys are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun Young Boys
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.9 2.86
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Young Boys
0:6
May 14, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Young Boys
3:8
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Young Boys vs Thun
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Young Boys
4:1
Sep 28, 2025 Super League
Young Boys vs Thun
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Rastoder E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bertone L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Young Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Fassnacht C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Essende S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 18 / 100
Young Boys 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun Young Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.20 goals.

Thun scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Young Boys let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Thun has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Young Boys
2.38 Goals Scored 3.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
Page 1 of 6

Young Boys

(Away)
19 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 2
Servette
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
01 Sept
Zurich
2 : 4
Young Boys
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thun 38 24 3 11 80:52 75
2 St. Gallen 38 20 10 8 72:47 70
3 Lugano 38 19 10 9 59:42 67
4 Sion 38 16 15 7 63:40 63
5 Basel 38 16 8 14 55:58 56
6 Young Boys 38 15 10 13 80:69 55
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)