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Thun W vs Rapperswil-Jona W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Stade Municipal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thun W play Rapperswil-Jona W in the Super League Women 2025/2026. Thun W are favorites here. Recently, Thun W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2 conceded. Rapperswil-Jona W averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Thun W won 1, Rapperswil-Jona W won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Thun W and 1.00 for Rapperswil-Jona W. This points to a Thun W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Thun W
6%
Draws
4%
Rapperswil-Jona W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Thun W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Thun W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Rapperswil-Jona W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Thun W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Thun W Clean Sheet 20%
Rapperswil-Jona W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun W Rapperswil-Jona W
Matches Played 37 37
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 15
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Super League Women
Thun W vs Rapperswil-Jona W
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 Super League Women
Rapperswil-Jona W vs Thun W
3:1
May 10, 2025 Super League Women
Rapperswil-Jona W vs Thun W
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Rapperswil-Jona W
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Rapperswil-Jona W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun W Compare

Top Goalscorer Colpi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rapperswil-Jona W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bailey-Gayle P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun W 85 / 100
Rapperswil-Jona W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun W Rapperswil-Jona W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thun W scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Rapperswil-Jona W let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Thun W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rapperswil-Jona W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thun W VS Rapperswil-Jona W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Servette W18152142:547
2Young Boys W18113432:1336
3Basel W18105323:1335
4Grasshopper W18103533:2233
5Zurich W1885533:2029
6St. Gallen W1875625:2826
7Rapperswil-Jona W1837819:3016
8Aarau W18251111:2811
9Luzern W18241221:5010
10Thun W18131417:476