Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thun W vs Yverdon W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Stade Municipal, Thun
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hamidi M.
31' Event
Hamidi M.
46'
Sub
Ueltschi S. In: Stefanova S.
Out: Ueltschi S.

AI Match Summary

Yverdon W in this Super League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yverdon W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Thun W
15%
Draws
26%
Yverdon W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thun W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Thun W have won more games recently than Yverdon W.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Thun W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Thun W Clean Sheet 14%
Yverdon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun W Yverdon W
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.45
Goals Conceded 2 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League Women
Yverdon W vs Thun W
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 Super League Women
Thun W vs Yverdon W
2:4
May 17, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Yverdon W
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 Super League Women
Yverdon W vs Thun W
2:4
May 27, 2023 Super League Women
Thun W vs Yverdon W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamidi M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Yverdon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sager M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khiri I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun W 57 / 100
Yverdon W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun W Yverdon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Thun W scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Yverdon W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Thun W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thun W VS Yverdon W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun W

(Home)
30 May
Sion W
1 : 6
Thun W
23 May
Thun W
1 : 4
Luzern W
17 May
Yverdon W
0 : 2
Thun W
09 May
Thun W
4 : 1
Sion W
02 May
Luzern W
1 : 0
Thun W
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Yverdon W

(Away)
13 Sept
Yverdon W
4 : 1
Aarau W
09 Sept
Servette W
3 : 2
Yverdon W
06 Sept
Young Boys W
1 : 1
Yverdon W
29 Aug
Yverdon W
1 : 2
Grasshopper W
16 Aug
St. Gallen W
1 : 0
Yverdon W
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