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Thunder Bay Chill vs Kalamazoo Outrage Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Thunder Bay Chill advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Thunder Bay Chill
15%
Draws
21%
Kalamazoo Outrage
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thunder Bay Chill come out ahead of Kalamazoo Outrage on wins alone.
  • Thunder Bay Chill are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Thunder Bay Chill have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Thunder Bay Chill, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 19%
Kalamazoo Outrage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thunder Bay Chill Kalamazoo Outrage
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 13
Draws 3 1
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.23 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2008 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Kalamazoo Outrage
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thunder Bay Chill 85 / 100
Kalamazoo Outrage 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thunder Bay Chill Kalamazoo Outrage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thunder Bay Chill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thunder Bay Chill scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kalamazoo Outrage conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Thunder Bay Chill went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thunder Bay Chill VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thunder Bay Chill

(Home)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
Page 1 of 6

Kalamazoo Outrage

(Away)
25 Jul
Toronto Lynx
2 : 3
Kalamazoo Outrage
20 Jul
Forest City London
7 : 0
Kalamazoo Outrage
17 Jul
Dayton
6 : 1
Kalamazoo Outrage
14 Jul
Cincinnati Kings
6 : 1
Kalamazoo Outrage
09 Jul
Kalamazoo Outrage
1 : 3
Indiana Invaders
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Austin U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
IMG Academy FL -
Orlando City B -
TBD -
TBD -
Laredo Heat -
Reading -
TBD -
TBD -
Jersey Express -
Brooklyn Knights -
TBD -
TBD -
Cape Cod -
Thunder Bay Chill 3
Colorado Rapids U23 1
Cleveland Internationals 2
Toronto Lynx 1
Flint City -
TBD -
Chicago Fire II 0
Kalamazoo Outrage 2
Sound FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Fresno FC 2 -
Valley Quakes -
TBD -
TBD -
Vancouver Whitecaps U23 -
1/8-finals
Austin U23 2
IMG Academy FL 1
Orlando City B 1
Laredo Heat 2
Reading 4
Jersey Express 2
Brooklyn Knights 1
Cape Cod 0
Thunder Bay Chill 2
Cleveland Internationals 0
Flint City 1
Kalamazoo Outrage 3
Sound FC 3
Fresno FC 2 0
Valley Quakes 1
Vancouver Whitecaps U23 3
Quarter-finals
Austin U23 1
Laredo Heat 3
Reading 1
Brooklyn Knights 0
Thunder Bay Chill 4
Kalamazoo Outrage 0
Sound FC 1
Vancouver Whitecaps U23 4
Semi-finals
Laredo Heat 2
Reading 0
Thunder Bay Chill 2
Vancouver Whitecaps U23 1
Final
Laredo Heat 1
Thunder Bay Chill 2