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Thunder Bay Chill vs Minneapolis City Prediction & H2H Stats

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USL League Two 2023
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2023 game between Thunder Bay Chill and Minneapolis City finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Thunder Bay Chill
15%
Draws
49%
Minneapolis City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minneapolis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Minneapolis City come out ahead of Thunder Bay Chill on wins alone.
  • Minneapolis City are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 10%
Minneapolis City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thunder Bay Chill Minneapolis City
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 21 28
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.23 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 USL League Two
Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill
2:1
Jul 5, 2024 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Minneapolis City
3:2
Jun 6, 2024 USL League Two
Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:0
Jul 7, 2023 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Minneapolis City
2:2
Jun 29, 2023 USL League Two
Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thunder Bay Chill 10 / 100
Minneapolis City 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thunder Bay Chill Minneapolis City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minneapolis City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thunder Bay Chill found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Minneapolis City let in goals in 64% of their last 42 matches.

Recent resilience: Thunder Bay Chill stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Minneapolis City
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thunder Bay Chill

(Home)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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Minneapolis City

(Away)
19 Jul
Peoria IL
4 : 0
Minneapolis City
16 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 0
West Virginia
12 Jul
Edgewater Castle
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
07 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
01 Jul
Minneapolis City
3 : 0
St. Croix
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