Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thunder Bay Chill vs Saint Louis

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2015 game between Thunder Bay Chill and Saint Louis finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Thunder Bay Chill
15%
Draws
42%
Saint Louis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thunder Bay Chill come out ahead of Saint Louis on wins alone.
  • Model gives Thunder Bay Chill a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 19%
Saint Louis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thunder Bay Chill Saint Louis
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2017 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Saint Louis
1:3
Jun 29, 2017 USL League Two
Saint Louis vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:0
Jun 30, 2015 USL League Two
Saint Louis vs Thunder Bay Chill
3:1
Jun 6, 2015 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Saint Louis
1:1
Jun 5, 2015 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Saint Louis
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thunder Bay Chill 49 / 100
Saint Louis 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thunder Bay Chill Saint Louis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thunder Bay Chill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thunder Bay Chill scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Saint Louis let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Thunder Bay Chill went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thunder Bay Chill VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thunder Bay Chill

(Home)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
Page 1 of 7

Saint Louis

(Away)
15 Jul
Menace
1 : 2
Saint Louis
09 Jul
FC Manitoba
4 : 1
Saint Louis
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
1 : 3
Saint Louis
05 Jul
Chicago United
1 : 0
Saint Louis
02 Jul
Menace
1 : 2
Saint Louis
Page 1 of 6