Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thunder Bay Chill vs Sioux Falls Spitfire Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2007 game between Thunder Bay Chill and Sioux Falls Spitfire finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thunder Bay Chill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Thunder Bay Chill
15%
Draws
34%
Sioux Falls Spitfire
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Thunder Bay Chill carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Thunder Bay Chill taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 19%
Sioux Falls Spitfire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thunder Bay Chill Sioux Falls Spitfire
Matches Played 34 16
Wins 23 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.24 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2007 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Sioux Falls Spitfire
6:0
Jul 13, 2007 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Sioux Falls Spitfire
0:1
Jun 2, 2007 USL League Two
Sioux Falls Spitfire vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:0
Jun 1, 2007 USL League Two
Sioux Falls Spitfire vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thunder Bay Chill 85 / 100
Sioux Falls Spitfire 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thunder Bay Chill Sioux Falls Spitfire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thunder Bay Chill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thunder Bay Chill found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

Sioux Falls Spitfire's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 16 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Thunder Bay Chill has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thunder Bay Chill VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thunder Bay Chill

(Home)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
Page 1 of 7

Sioux Falls Spitfire

(Away)
14 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
6 : 0
Sioux Falls Spitfire
13 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
0 : 1
Sioux Falls Spitfire
08 Jul
Sioux Falls Spitfire
4 : 1
Kansas City Brass
06 Jul
Colorado Rapids U23
4 : 0
Sioux Falls Spitfire
01 Jul
St. Louis Lions
2 : 1
Sioux Falls Spitfire
Page 1 of 4