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Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Croix

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2024 game between Thunder Bay Chill and St. Croix finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Thunder Bay Chill
15%
Draws
42%
St. Croix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thunder Bay Chill come out ahead of St. Croix on wins alone.
  • Model gives St. Croix a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 20%
St. Croix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thunder Bay Chill St. Croix
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 21 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 2.23 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2024 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:2
Jun 16, 2024 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Croix
2:2
Jun 14, 2024 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Croix
1:2
Jun 27, 2023 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:2
Jun 9, 2023 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Croix
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thunder Bay Chill 24 / 100
St. Croix 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thunder Bay Chill St. Croix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Croix Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thunder Bay Chill's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: St. Croix conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Thunder Bay Chill went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS St. Croix
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thunder Bay Chill

(Home)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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St. Croix

(Away)
11 Jul
St. Croix
3 : 0
Rockford Raptors
09 Jul
Rochester FC
1 : 3
St. Croix
05 Jul
St. Croix
7 : 1
Edgewater Castle
01 Jul
Minneapolis City
3 : 0
St. Croix
21 Jun
Sueno
3 : 1
St. Croix
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