Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024

Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thyella Diastavroseos play Panelefsiniakos F.C. in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thyella Diastavroseos averaged 1.16 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Panelefsiniakos F.C. averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Thyella Diastavroseos won 3, Panelefsiniakos F.C. won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 21, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Thyella Diastavroseos and 0.88 for Panelefsiniakos F.C.. This points to a Thyella Diastavroseos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Thyella Diastavroseos

15%

Draws

30%

Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thyella Diastavroseos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Thyella Diastavroseos picked up more points recently compared to Panelefsiniakos F.C..
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Thyella Diastavroseos Clean Sheet 25%

Panelefsiniakos F.C. Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thyella Diastavroseos	Panelefsiniakos F.C.
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	9
Draws	10	2
Losses	9	19
Goals Scored	1.16	1.03
Goals Conceded	0.9	2.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Thyella Diastavroseos vs Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Sep 17, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Panelefsiniakos F.C. vs Thyella Diastavroseos

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Feb 13, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6

Thyella Diastavroseos vs Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Nov 14, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6

Panelefsiniakos F.C. vs Thyella Diastavroseos

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

May 6, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 8

Panelefsiniakos F.C. vs Thyella Diastavroseos

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thyella Diastavroseos 55 / 100

Panelefsiniakos F.C. 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thyella Diastavroseos Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thyella Diastavroseos Win (1)

Secondary Pick Thyella Diastavroseos & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thyella Diastavroseos attacking → ← attacking Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thyella Diastavroseos scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Panelefsiniakos F.C. let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Thyella Diastavroseos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Panelefsiniakos F.C. lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 29

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panargiakos	34	23	7	4	49:13	76
2	Korinthos	34	21	7	6	58:29	70
3	Thyella Diastavroseos	34	19	8	7	52:28	65
4	Ellas Syrou	34	20	3	11	66:30	63
5	Kyanos Astir Varis	34	18	8	8	55:22	62
6	Marko	34	16	8	10	42:36	56
7	Ialisos	34	16	7	11	40:34	55
8	Rodos	34	15	10	9	51:29	55
9	Panegialios FC	34	17	4	13	56:43	55
10	Mykonos	34	15	6	13	51:35	51
11	Afantou	34	13	11	10	42:36	50
12	PAO Varda	34	13	4	17	33:49	43
13	Pyliou	34	10	7	17	35:48	37
14	Panelefsiniakos F.C.	34	11	2	21	36:66	35
15	Vyzas FC	34	8	9	17	32:64	33
16	Filiatron	34	5	11	18	35:54	23
17	Ermionidas-Ermis	34	5	7	22	24:58	22
18	Mesolongi AE	34	0	3	31	16:99	3