Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tiangua EC vs Calouros do Ar

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3
Tiangua EC Logo

Tiangua EC

2 - 4
FT
Calouros do Ar Logo

Calouros do Ar

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rian
17' Event
Kaua F.
37' Event
Richarlison Sales Pereira J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 game between Tiangua EC and Calouros do Ar finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calouros do Ar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tiangua EC
15%
Draws
36%
Calouros do Ar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tiangua EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tiangua EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tiangua EC Clean Sheet 19%
Calouros do Ar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiangua EC Calouros do Ar
Matches Played 12 6
Wins 4 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.17 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Cearense 3
Tiangua EC vs Calouros do Ar
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiangua EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rian
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaua F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Calouros do Ar Compare

Top Goalscorer Richarlison Sales Pereira J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiangua EC 32 / 100
Calouros do Ar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiangua EC Calouros do Ar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calouros do Ar has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Away concern: Calouros do Ar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tiangua EC scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

Scoring Trends

Tiangua EC VS Calouros do Ar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiangua EC

(Home)
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
30 Aug
Acopiara
2 : 1
Tiangua EC
23 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 4
Calouros do Ar
18 Aug
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tiangua EC
11 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 2
Pacatuba
Page 1 of 3

Calouros do Ar

(Away)
05 Sept
Pacatuba
2 : 1
Calouros do Ar
29 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Esporte Limoeiro
23 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 4
Calouros do Ar
15 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Vila Real
10 Aug
Acopiara
3 : 0
Calouros do Ar
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Acopiara 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Esporte Limoeiro 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
4 Pacatuba 6 2 4 0 8:6 10
5 Calouros do Ar 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
6 Tiangua EC 6 1 1 4 6:10 4
7 Palmacia 6 0 1 5 5:12 1
Promotion - Cearense 3 (Play Offs)