Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tiangua EC vs Crato

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2024
Tiangua EC Logo

Tiangua EC

0 - 1
FT
Crato Logo

Crato

Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Romarinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Crato in this Cearense 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tiangua EC
20%
Draws
51%
Crato
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crato lately — more wins on the board than Tiangua EC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tiangua EC Clean Sheet 17%
Crato Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiangua EC Crato
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 1 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2024 Cearense 3
Tiangua EC vs Crato
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiangua EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Crato Compare

Top Goalscorer Romarinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiangua EC 36 / 100
Crato 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiangua EC Crato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Crato conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Tiangua EC scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Tiangua EC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tiangua EC VS Crato
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiangua EC

(Home)
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
30 Aug
Acopiara
2 : 1
Tiangua EC
23 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 4
Calouros do Ar
18 Aug
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tiangua EC
11 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 2
Pacatuba
Page 1 of 3

Crato

(Away)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Esporte Limoeiro 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
3 Crato 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
4 Terra e Mar 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Tiangua EC 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
6 Alianca Futebol Clube 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
7 Itarema 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Cearense 3 2024 (Play Offs)