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Tiangua EC vs Pacatuba Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3
Tiangua EC Logo

Tiangua EC

2 - 2
FT
Pacatuba Logo

Pacatuba

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sousa F.
23' Event
Gabriel Joao
73' Event
Juninho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cearense 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tiangua EC
30%
Draws
47%
Pacatuba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pacatuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tiangua EC at 1.17 per game, Pacatuba at 0.83.
  • Win probability leans Pacatuba's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tiangua EC Clean Sheet 19%
Pacatuba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiangua EC Pacatuba
Matches Played 12 24
Wins 4 4
Draws 1 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Cearense 3
Tiangua EC vs Pacatuba
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiangua EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Joao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Indio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pacatuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Juninho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiangua EC 28 / 100
Pacatuba 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiangua EC Pacatuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pacatuba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Pacatuba let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

Tiangua EC found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (12 games).

Solid form: Tiangua EC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tiangua EC VS Pacatuba
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.67 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiangua EC

(Home)
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
30 Aug
Acopiara
2 : 1
Tiangua EC
23 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 4
Calouros do Ar
18 Aug
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tiangua EC
11 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 2
Pacatuba
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Pacatuba

(Away)
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Pacatuba
2 : 1
Calouros do Ar
30 Aug
Palmacia
2 : 2
Pacatuba
15 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Acopiara 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Esporte Limoeiro 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
4 Pacatuba 6 2 4 0 8:6 10
5 Calouros do Ar 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
6 Tiangua EC 6 1 1 4 6:10 4
7 Palmacia 6 0 1 5 5:12 1
Promotion - Cearense 3 (Play Offs)