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Tiangua EC vs Vila Real

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Cearense 3
Tiangua EC Logo

Tiangua EC

0 - 1
FT
Vila Real Logo

Vila Real

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vila Real in this Cearense 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Tiangua EC
20%
Draws
61%
Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Vila Real have won more games recently than Tiangua EC.
  • Vila Real are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Cearense 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tiangua EC Clean Sheet 20%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiangua EC Vila Real
Matches Played 12 18
Wins 4 8
Draws 1 5
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.42 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Cearense 3
Tiangua EC vs Vila Real
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiangua EC 16 / 100
Vila Real 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiangua EC Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Real Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Real let in goals in 67% of their last 18 matches.

Tiangua EC scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Tiangua EC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tiangua EC VS Vila Real
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiangua EC

(Home)
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
30 Aug
Acopiara
2 : 1
Tiangua EC
23 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 4
Calouros do Ar
18 Aug
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tiangua EC
11 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 2
Pacatuba
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Vila Real

(Away)
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
22 Aug
Vila Real
3 : 2
Acopiara
15 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Vila Real
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Acopiara 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Esporte Limoeiro 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
4 Pacatuba 6 2 4 0 8:6 10
5 Calouros do Ar 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
6 Tiangua EC 6 1 1 4 6:10 4
7 Palmacia 6 0 1 5 5:12 1
Promotion - Cearense 3 (Play Offs)