Sport Picks
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
China
Super League Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin 
Match Events
20'
20'
Sub
Dai Wai-Tsun In: Li Long
Out: Dai Wai-Tsun
26'
26'
Guilherme Schettine
Assist: Ba Dun
44'
44'
Xie Weijun
AI Match Summary
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger haven't matched Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's recent run of results.
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 68%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3:0
Mar 14, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:0
May 1, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:0
Jun 29, 2024 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare
Top Goalscorer Guilherme Schettine
1 Goals Assists Leader Xadas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 50 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
(Home) 18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
19 Jun
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
31 May
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0 Dalian Yingbo
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
31 May
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0 Dalian Yingbo
19 May
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
15 May
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 2 Chengdu Rongcheng
01 May
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 2 Wuhan Three Towns
Page 1 of 3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
(Away) 21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
18 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
11 Jul
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3 : 0 Qingdao West Coast
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 3 Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
18 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
19 Jun
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 3 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
24 May
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23:21 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28:32 | 28 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36:35 | 25 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23:29 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35:34 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Zhejiang Professional | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Liaoning Tieren | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 25:30 | 21 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25:33 | 20 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36:29 | 19 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23:23 | 18 |
| 13 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 28:26 | 16 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30:36 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26:34 | 11 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)