Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tidaholms vs Ahlafors

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Akerman O.
58' Event
Gegerfelt D. F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 game between Tidaholms and Ahlafors finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tidaholms
15%
Draws
59%
Ahlafors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ahlafors come out ahead of Tidaholms on wins alone.
  • Ahlafors are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tidaholms Clean Sheet 10%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tidaholms Ahlafors
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 8 12
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Tidaholms
2:0
May 17, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tidaholms vs Ahlafors
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tidaholms Compare

Top Goalscorer Gegerfelt D. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Akerman O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tidaholms 10 / 100
Ahlafors 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tidaholms Ahlafors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tidaholms found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Ahlafors let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tidaholms stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ahlafors
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tidaholms

(Home)
14 Feb
Skovde
6 : 2
Tidaholms
18 Oct
Tidaholms
4 : 2
Grebbestad
11 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 1
Tidaholms
05 Oct
Vanersborgs IF
8 : 3
Tidaholms
27 Sept
Tidaholms
1 : 2
Kumla
Page 1 of 6

Ahlafors

(Away)
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FBK Karlstad 26 16 4 6 62:29 52
2 Motala 26 15 6 5 58:35 51
3 Herrestads AIF 26 12 8 6 51:27 44
4 Lidkoping 26 12 8 6 38:25 44
5 Ahlafors 26 10 10 6 41:37 40
6 Kongahalla 26 10 7 9 57:42 37
7 Skara 26 10 4 12 40:48 34
8 Grebbestad 26 9 5 12 40:47 32
9 Vanersborgs IF 26 7 10 9 44:50 31
10 Vanersborgs FK 26 8 7 11 26:37 31
11 Tord 26 7 9 10 32:39 30
12 Kumla 26 8 6 12 34:52 30
13 IF Haga 26 6 5 15 26:54 23
14 Tidaholms 26 4 7 15 27:54 19
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)