Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tidaholms vs Ahlafors

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Akerman O.
58' Event
Gegerfelt D. F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 game between Tidaholms and Ahlafors finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tidaholms
6%
Draws
90%
Ahlafors
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ahlafors come out ahead of Tidaholms on wins alone.
  • Ahlafors are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tidaholms Clean Sheet 10%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tidaholms Ahlafors
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 2.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 4.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Tidaholms
2:0
May 17, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tidaholms vs Ahlafors
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tidaholms Compare

Top Goalscorer Gegerfelt D. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Akerman O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tidaholms 10 / 100
Ahlafors 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tidaholms Ahlafors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tidaholms found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Ahlafors let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tidaholms stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tidaholms VS Ahlafors
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tidaholms

(Home)
14 Feb
Skovde
6 : 2
Tidaholms
18 Oct
Tidaholms
4 : 2
Grebbestad
11 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 1
Tidaholms
05 Oct
Vanersborgs IF
8 : 3
Tidaholms
27 Sept
Tidaholms
1 : 2
Kumla
Page 1 of 6

Ahlafors

(Away)
27 Jun
Ahlafors
2 : 2
Tord
18 Jun
Ahlafors
1 : 1
Skara
12 Jun
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 4
Ahlafors
07 Jun
Kumla
1 : 1
Ahlafors
30 May
Tord
1 : 2
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FBK Karlstad26164662:2952
2Motala26156558:3551
3Herrestads AIF26128651:2744
4Lidkoping26128638:2544
5Ahlafors261010641:3740
6Kongahalla26107957:4237
7Skara261041240:4834
8Grebbestad26951240:4732
9Vanersborgs IF26710944:5031
10Vanersborgs FK26871126:3731
11Tord26791032:3930
12Kumla26861234:5230
13IF Haga26651526:5423
14Tidaholms26471527:5419
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)