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Tidaholms vs Grebbestad

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tidaholms play Grebbestad in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tidaholms averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Grebbestad averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Tidaholms won 1, Grebbestad won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 18, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Tidaholms and 2.88 for Grebbestad. This points to a Grebbestad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tidaholms
19%
Draws
53%
Grebbestad
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Grebbestad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Tidaholms picked up more points recently compared to Grebbestad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 2.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Tidaholms Clean Sheet 10%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tidaholms Grebbestad
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tidaholms vs Grebbestad
4:2
Mar 29, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Tidaholms
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tidaholms Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekelund O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gegerfelt D. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Grebbestad Compare

Top Goalscorer Cederlund J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sakshaug S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tidaholms 27 / 100
Grebbestad 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tidaholms Grebbestad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grebbestad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Grebbestad & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tidaholms attacking → ← attacking Grebbestad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tidaholms scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Grebbestad let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Tidaholms went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Grebbestad lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 49
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
4.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FBK Karlstad26164662:2952
2Motala26156558:3551
3Herrestads AIF26128651:2744
4Lidkoping26128638:2544
5Ahlafors261010641:3740
6Kongahalla26107957:4237
7Skara261041240:4834
8Grebbestad26951240:4732
9Vanersborgs IF26710944:5031
10Vanersborgs FK26871126:3731
11Tord26791032:3930
12Kumla26861234:5230
13IF Haga26651526:5423
14Tidaholms26471527:5419