Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tienen vs Dessel

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Cuypers V.
26' Event
Rottiers N.
31' Event
Ceulemans S.

AI Match Summary

Dessel in this National Division 1 - VV matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dessel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tienen
20%
Draws
51%
Dessel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dessel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Dessel have won more games recently than Tienen.
  • Model gives Tienen a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tienen Clean Sheet 11%
Dessel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tienen Dessel
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.41 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Dessel
3:4
Apr 12, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Dessel
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Tienen
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Tienen
2:1
Sep 11, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Dessel
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tienen Compare

Top Goalscorer Rottiers N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ceulemans S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dessel Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuypers V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sposito F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tienen 47 / 100
Dessel 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tienen Dessel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tienen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dessel has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Tienen's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tienen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tienen VS Dessel
1 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tienen

(Home)
20 Sept
Tienen
1 : 1
SK Roeselare
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
06 Sept
Leuven B
2 : 1
Tienen
30 Aug
Tienen
3 : 4
Dessel
23 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
KV Mechelen 2
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Dessel

(Away)
19 Sept
Dessel
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
11 Sept
Houtvenne
5 : 0
Dessel
05 Sept
Dessel
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
30 Aug
Tienen
3 : 4
Dessel
26 Apr
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dessel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 4 4 0 0 15:4 12
2 Merelbeke 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Leuven B 4 3 0 1 10:9 9
4 SK Roeselare 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
5 Mandel United 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Dessel 4 2 1 1 8:10 7
7 Knokke 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
8 K. Lyra-Lierse 4 1 3 0 11:10 6
9 Thes Sport 4 1 2 1 8:7 5
10 Tienen 4 1 1 2 9:7 4
11 Belisia Bilzen 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
12 Heist 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
13 Cercle Brugge 2 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
14 Hoogstraten 4 0 2 2 8:10 2
15 Zelzate 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
16 KRC Harelbeke 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
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